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Geopolitics · Russia–Ukraine

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

As of 8 November 2026, traders on Polymarket see a 3% chance for “Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026”, down from 6% a week ago.

It moved −0.5 pts in the past 24 hours, and stood at 8% 30 days ago.

Open on the mapRules and result on Polymarket

Chances now

New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean

OutcomeChance24 hours7 daysTraded, 7 days
Yes3%−0.5 pts−2.8 pts$85k

A price of 3% means traders pay about $0.03 for a Yes share, which pays $1 if the answer is Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.

Key facts

Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees

Largest public holders

WalletHoldsValueUnrealised P&L
cqsNo$178k+$65k
thoodrNo$58k+$3k
How.Dare.YouNo$45k+$7k
cezarn132No$36k+$13k
ShminniNo$20k+$4k
0x8b71…8044No$17k+$2k
QMG-CORENo$16k+$735
OraculumNobiusNo$15k+$599

Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.

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Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.