As of 8 November 2026, traders on Polymarket see 7% by 30 June 2027 and 1% by 31 December 2027.
No outcome moved more than 2 points over the past week.
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 June 2027 | 7% | 0.0 pts | −0.5 pts | $1k |
| 31 December 2027 | 1% | +0.1 pts | −0.8 pts | $280k |
A price of 7% means traders pay about $0.07 for the 30 June 2027 share, which pays $1 if it happens by then. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb. Each line is a separate yes-or-no market, so the chances do not add up to 100%.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| OraculumNobius | December 31 · No | $88k | +$4k |
| ololololololololo | December 31 · No | $88k | +$11k |
| boss777777 | December 31 · No | $82k | +$6k |
| ANGGGuess | December 31 · No | $39k | +$2k |
| forinnerpsandr1x11222 | December 31 · No | $29k | +$4k |
| Simbaaaa | December 31 · No | $24k | +$2k |
| How.Dare.You | December 31 · No | $24k | +$3k |
| led1110 | December 31 · No | $21k | +$758 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.