As of 8 November 2026, traders on Polymarket see a 8% chance for “Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31”, down from 16% a week ago.
It barely moved in the past 24 hours, and stood at 6% 30 days ago.
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| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 8% | −0.5 pts | −7.5 pts | $15k |
A price of 8% means traders pay about $0.08 for a Yes share, which pays $1 if the answer is Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| SlenderMan | No | $21k | +$2k |
| Lnn | No | $18k | +$2k |
| hopedieslast | No | $9k | +$271 |
| forinnerpsandr1x11222 | No | $8k | +$1k |
| 1nvoker1 | No | $3k | +$280 |
| RewardsMafia | No | $3k | +$195 |
| 0x6868…a90a | No | $2k | +$341 |
| Sylvester.the.Cat | No | $2k | +$436 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.