As of 8 November 2026, traders on Polymarket see a 86% chance for “Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027”, down from 90% a week ago.
It moved +0.5 pts in the past 24 hours, and stood at 82% 30 days ago.
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| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 86% | +0.5 pts | −4.5 pts | $31k |
A price of 86% means traders pay about $0.86 for a Yes share, which pays $1 if the answer is Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
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| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| fqy2026 | Yes | $24k | +$759 |
| SilenceKevin | Yes | $11k | $0 |
| 0x4004…c40b | Yes | $6k | +$200 |
| 0x0456…c88a | Yes | $6k | −$62 |
| 0x6c76…1d72 | Yes | $2k | +$48 |
| MikeMoore | No | $2k | +$112 |
| qingkuang124 | No | $1k | −$473 |
| pykue | No | $995 | +$90 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.