As of 8 November 2026, the favourite on Polymarket is Chang San-cheng at 93%, followed by Huang Shih-chieh at 8%.
Huang Shih-chieh moved the most this week: 5% to 8% (+2.9 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chang San-cheng | 93% | 0.0 pts | −0.5 pts | $4k |
| Huang Shih-chieh | 8% | −0.3 pts | +2.9 pts | $10k |
A price of 93% means traders pay about $0.93 for a “Chang San-cheng” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Huang Shih-chieh · No | $10k | – |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Chang San-cheng · Yes | $6k | +$140 |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Huang Shih-chieh · No | $2k | +$21 |
| neutralwave23 | Chang San-cheng · Yes | $1k | +$102 |
| 0x122c…fbed | Chang San-cheng · Yes | $1k | −$13 |
| XAE12Archangel | Huang Shih-chieh · No | $925 | −$1 |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Chang San-cheng · No | $757 | – |
| FrozenParasite | Chang San-cheng · Yes | $571 | +$62 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.