The favourite on Polymarket is Chiang Wan-an at 68%, followed by Puma Shen at 32%.
No outcome moved more than 2 points over the past week.
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiang Wan-an | 68% | −1.0 pts | 0.0 pts | $785k |
| Puma Shen | 32% | +2.4 pts | +0.8 pts | $771k |
A price of 68% means traders pay $0.69 for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. It is the crowd's estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and open interest, explained · How markets resolve
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Chiang Wan-an · No | $574k | −$574k |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Puma Shen · No | $268k | −$268k |
| Richidd | Chiang Wan-an · Yes | $128k | −$2k |
| gaven-willwin | Chiang Wan-an · Yes | $114k | −$6k |
| 0x82f9…3950 | Chiang Wan-an · Yes | $110k | +$10k |
| anoin123 | Chiang Wan-an · No | $41k | −$22k |
| dddmmm963 | Chiang Wan-an · Yes | $36k | +$1k |
| monsterben | Puma Shen · Yes | $26k | −$1k |
Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. How to read holders.