The favourite on Polymarket is Ulf Kristersson at 56%, followed by Magdalena Andersson at 42%.
Ulf Kristersson moved the most this week: 26% to 56% (+30.9 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ulf Kristersson | 56% | +20.6 pts | +30.9 pts | $272k |
| Magdalena Andersson | 42% | −20.0 pts | −28.5 pts | $336k |
A price of 42% means traders pay $0.41 for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. It is the crowd's estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and open interest, explained · How markets resolve
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Ulf Kristersson · No | $245k | −$245k |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Magdalena Andersson · No | $180k | −$180k |
| 0xc52c…ac6e | Ulf Kristersson · Yes | $48k | +$34k |
| plumbis | Magdalena Andersson · Yes | $30k | −$16k |
| madmartigan5 | Magdalena Andersson · No | $24k | −$12k |
| thegreatjeff | Magdalena Andersson · Yes | $23k | −$27k |
| MamboDambo | Ulf Kristersson · Yes | $20k | +$9k |
| JGripen | Ulf Kristersson · Yes | $18k | +$14k |
Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. How to read holders.