As of 8 November 2026, the favourite on Polymarket is PP at 90%, followed by PSOE at 10%.
PP moved the most this week: 84% to 90% (+5.0 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PP | 90% | 0.0 pts | +5.0 pts | $35k |
| PSOE | 10% | −1.0 pts | −5.0 pts | $30k |
A price of 90% means traders pay about $0.90 for a “PP” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef…2966 | PSOE · No | $31k | – |
| 0x39aa…583c | PP · Yes | $5k | +$455 |
| OhneScharf | PP · Yes | $4k | +$266 |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | PP · No | $4k | – |
| pkz | PP · Yes | $3k | +$310 |
| knrad | PP · Yes | $2k | +$111 |
| taesookim | PP · Yes | $2k | +$53 |
| Mithrandiric | PP · Yes | $2k | −$74 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
More in Geopolitics · All markets
Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.