As of 8 November 2026, the favourite on Polymarket is Lee Fairclough at 67%, followed by Navdeep Bains at 34% and Stephanie Bowman at 1%.
Lee Fairclough moved the most this week: 62% to 67% (+5.5 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lee Fairclough | 67% | +1.5 pts | +5.5 pts | $0 |
| Navdeep Bains | 34% | −1.0 pts | −1.5 pts | $902 |
| Stephanie Bowman | 1% | −0.8 pts | −1.8 pts | $0 |
A price of 67% means traders pay about $0.67 for a “Lee Fairclough” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Stephanie Bowman · No | $2k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Navdeep Bains · No | $1k | – |
| trulyalya1 | Lee Fairclough · Yes | $974 | −$26 |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Lee Fairclough · No | $630 | – |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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