As of 8 November 2026, the highest chances on Polymarket are Yulia Navalnaya at 10%, Pope Leo XIV at 8% and Volodymyr Zelenskyy at 8%. Each line is its own yes-or-no market.
Yulia Navalnaya moved the most this week: 12% to 10% (−2.0 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yulia Navalnaya | 10% | 0.0 pts | −2.0 pts | $0 |
| Pope Leo XIV | 8% | 0.0 pts | +0.2 pts | $0 |
| Volodymyr Zelenskyy | 8% | 0.0 pts | −1.4 pts | $639 |
| Donald Trump | 8% | 0.0 pts | −1.0 pts | $4k |
| Greta Thunberg | 2% | 0.0 pts | −0.4 pts | $0 |
A price of 10% means traders pay about $0.10 for a “Yulia Navalnaya” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb. Each line is a separate yes-or-no market, so the chances do not add up to 100%.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| End123 | Donald Trump · No | $41k | +$667 |
| pIebe | Donald Trump · Yes | $4k | −$730 |
| ClaudeIntern | Donald Trump · No | $3k | +$4 |
| sciuboi | Greta Thunberg · No | $1k | +$20 |
| h038596027355 | Donald Trump · No | $1k | +$6 |
| 64MGX75VLQ | Donald Trump · No | $1k | +$16 |
| sciuboi | Pope Leo XIV · No | $760 | −$39 |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yulia Navalnaya · No | $625 | −$11 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.