As of 8 November 2026, the favourite on Polymarket is Helen Zille at 55%, followed by Herman Mashaba at 25% and Loyiso Masuku at 3%.
Herman Mashaba moved the most this week: 10% to 25% (+15.2 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Helen Zille | 55% | +1.0 pts | −6.0 pts | $10k |
| Herman Mashaba | 25% | +3.4 pts | +15.2 pts | $2k |
| Loyiso Masuku | 3% | 0.0 pts | −5.0 pts | $0 |
| David Makhura | 3% | −2.8 pts | −4.1 pts | $232 |
| Kenny Kunene | 3% | 0.0 pts | −1.0 pts | $0 |
A price of 55% means traders pay about $0.55 for a “Helen Zille” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Kenny Kunene · No | $3k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | David Makhura · No | $3k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Loyiso Masuku · No | $3k | – |
| anoin123 | Helen Zille · No | $3k | +$52 |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Herman Mashaba · No | $2k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Helen Zille · No | $1k | – |
| RememberAmalek | Helen Zille · Yes | $916 | +$53 |
| Malganis | Helen Zille · Yes | $638 | +$1 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.