The deadline passed on 8 November 2026. The market is waiting for the official result, so prices may still move before it settles. How markets resolve.
As of 8 November 2026, the favourite on Polymarket is Labour Party at 98%, followed by National Party at 1%.
Labour Party moved the most this week: 68% to 98% (+30.5 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Labour Party | 98% | −0.5 pts | +30.5 pts | $42k |
| National Party | 1% | +0.8 pts | −29.1 pts | $23k |
A price of 98% means traders pay about $0.98 for a “Labour Party” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x4488…e319 | Labour Party · Yes | $9k | +$15 |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | National Party · No | $7k | – |
| Luc1999 | Labour Party · Yes | $635 | +$131 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
More in Politics · All markets
Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.