As of 8 November 2026, traders on Polymarket see a 4% chance for “Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31”, down from 8% a week ago.
It barely moved in the past 24 hours, and stood at 11% 30 days ago.
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| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 4% | +0.2 pts | −3.5 pts | $16k |
A price of 4% means traders pay about $0.04 for a Yes share, which pays $1 if the answer is Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
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| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xcca9…4c9f | No | $28k | +$17k |
| nedsta | No | $10k | +$2k |
| hammerdream | No | $5k | +$1k |
| Ajjooli | No | $5k | +$424 |
| skibabiba | No | $4k | +$532 |
| e88888 | No | $2k | +$1k |
| wqujvj | No | $2k | +$860 |
| k00pa | No | $2k | +$260 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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