As of 8 November 2026, the favourite on Polymarket is Javier Milei at 44%, followed by Axel Kicillof at 34% and Sergio Massa at 16%.
Axel Kicillof moved the most this week: 28% to 34% (+6.0 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javier Milei | 44% | 0.0 pts | +1.0 pts | $13k |
| Axel Kicillof | 34% | +1.0 pts | +6.0 pts | $18k |
| Sergio Massa | 16% | 0.0 pts | +0.6 pts | $18k |
| Patricia Bullrich | 3% | +1.3 pts | −0.8 pts | $16k |
| Myriam Bregman | 1% | −0.7 pts | −0.9 pts | $14k |
A price of 44% means traders pay about $0.44 for a “Javier Milei” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Myriam Bregman · No | $66k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Patricia Bullrich · No | $64k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Sergio Massa · No | $56k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Axel Kicillof · No | $44k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Javier Milei · No | $37k | – |
| Plata-O-Mierda | Axel Kicillof · Yes | $27k | −$4k |
| Plata-O-Mierda | Javier Milei · No | $22k | +$2k |
| bifurcatio | Javier Milei · No | $9k | +$661 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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