The favourite on Polymarket is Jon Ossoff at 27%, followed by Kamala Harris at 5% and James Talarico at 3%.
Jon Ossoff moved the most this week: 16% to 27% (+11.7 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Ossoff | 27% | −0.4 pts | +11.7 pts | $1.1M |
| Kamala Harris | 5% | +0.2 pts | −0.9 pts | $360k |
| James Talarico | 3% | +0.4 pts | +0.6 pts | $692k |
| Mark Kelly | 2% | 0.0 pts | +0.2 pts | $274k |
| Abdul El-Sayed | 1% | +0.6 pts | +1.1 pts | $1.5M |
A price of 1% means traders pay $0.01 for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. It is the crowd's estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and open interest, explained · How markets resolve
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Jon Ossoff · No | $867k | −$867k |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Kamala Harris · No | $158k | −$158k |
| HerbertAppreciator | Jon Ossoff · Yes | $143k | +$122k |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | James Talarico · No | $100k | −$100k |
| Jsram | Jon Ossoff · Yes | $84k | +$6k |
| BreakTheBank | Jon Ossoff · Yes | $77k | +$12k |
| MSKW22222 | Jon Ossoff · Yes | $64k | +$35k |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Mark Kelly · No | $62k | −$62k |
Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. How to read holders.