As of 8 November 2026, traders on Polymarket see a 2% chance for “Macron out by December 31, 2026”, unchanged from a week ago.
It barely moved in the past 24 hours, and stood at 3% 30 days ago.
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 2% | 0.0 pts | +0.2 pts | $3k |
A price of 2% means traders pay about $0.02 for a Yes share, which pays $1 if the answer is Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vietnam7 | No | $52k | +$842 |
| Trashbag | No | $9k | +$310 |
| bearbees2 | No | $1k | +$87 |
| OLOTH | No | $1k | +$60 |
| wish- | No | $1k | +$52 |
| cenabum45 | No | $514 | +$13 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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