As of 8 November 2026, the favourite on Polymarket is Lai Jui-lung at 90%, followed by Ko Chih-en at 11%.
Lai Jui-lung moved the most this week: 76% to 90% (+14.5 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lai Jui-lung | 90% | +1.0 pts | +14.5 pts | $24k |
| Ko Chih-en | 11% | −0.8 pts | −14.5 pts | $11k |
A price of 90% means traders pay about $0.90 for a “Lai Jui-lung” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Ko Chih-en · No | $13k | – |
| Hsini | Lai Jui-lung · Yes | $10k | +$394 |
| macrosteaks | Ko Chih-en · No | $3k | +$817 |
| anoin123 | Ko Chih-en · No | $3k | +$972 |
| macrosteaks | Lai Jui-lung · Yes | $3k | +$662 |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Lai Jui-lung · No | $1k | – |
| galtjay | Lai Jui-lung · Yes | $1k | +$141 |
| Gohst | Ko Chih-en · Yes | $800 | −$256 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.