As of 8 November 2026, the favourite on Polymarket is Ann Kao at 88%, followed by Chuang Ching-cheng at 12%.
No outcome moved more than 2 points over the past week.
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ann Kao | 88% | +1.0 pts | +0.5 pts | $12k |
| Chuang Ching-cheng | 12% | −0.5 pts | −0.1 pts | $7k |
A price of 88% means traders pay about $0.88 for a “Ann Kao” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Ann Kao · Yes | $19k | +$265 |
| jlee0910293833 | Ann Kao · Yes | $4k | +$5 |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Chuang Ching-cheng · No | $4k | – |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Chuang Ching-cheng · No | $2k | −$0 |
| SnapElectionAvoider | Ann Kao · No | $1k | −$10 |
| december | Ann Kao · Yes | $1k | +$45 |
| Magician5342 | Ann Kao · Yes | $709 | +$9 |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Ann Kao · No | $554 | – |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
More in Politics · All markets
Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.