As of 8 November 2026, the favourite on Polymarket is 6 at 86%, followed by 7 at 8% and 8 at 2%.
6 moved the most this week: 70% to 86% (+17.0 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 86% | 0.0 pts | +17.0 pts | $5k |
| 7 | 8% | −3.0 pts | −17.0 pts | $2k |
| 8 | 2% | +0.3 pts | −3.4 pts | $0 |
A price of 86% means traders pay about $0.86 for a “6” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef…2966 | 8 · No | $3k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | 7 · No | $2k | – |
| longliveapples | 6 · Yes | $735 | +$60 |
| spacegliderr | 6 · Yes | $726 | +$182 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
More in Politics · All markets
Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.