As of 8 November 2026, traders on Polymarket see a 78% chance for “Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026”, up from 74% a week ago.
It moved −1.0 pts in the past 24 hours, and stood at 73% 30 days ago.
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| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 78% | −1.0 pts | +4.0 pts | $14k |
A price of 78% means traders pay about $0.78 for a Yes share, which pays $1 if the answer is Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| QuantDeLaFugazi | Yes | $4k | +$527 |
| Udonsan | Yes | $4k | −$21 |
| 0x6c76…1d72 | Yes | $3k | +$153 |
| 0xffd3…7c75 | Yes | $2k | +$181 |
| Haozenlin | Yes | $2k | +$118 |
| pink11 | Yes | $2k | −$26 |
| Maru.lucky.nala.lenu | Yes | $1k | +$248 |
| OneDollarBot | Yes | $962 | +$99 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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