As of 8 November 2026, traders on Polymarket see a 8% chance for “UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31”, down from 10% a week ago.
It moved −2.0 pts in the past 24 hours, and stood at 10% 30 days ago.
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| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 8% | −2.0 pts | −2.5 pts | $38k |
A price of 8% means traders pay about $0.08 for a Yes share, which pays $1 if the answer is Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| pollybond | No | $12k | +$2k |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No | $8k | +$416 |
| 5k7GFTpu9ykQ | No | $7k | +$394 |
| sabsabinxz | No | $7k | +$408 |
| MEPP | No | $4k | +$448 |
| anoin123 | No | $3k | +$271 |
| paddaa | Yes | $2k | −$1k |
| pIebe | No | $1k | +$121 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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