The favourite on Polymarket is June 30, 2027 at 22%, followed by December 31 at 8% and November 30 at 4%.
June 30, 2027 moved the most this week: 30% to 22% (−7.5 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30, 2027 | 22% | −2.0 pts | −7.5 pts | $18k |
| December 31 | 8% | 0.0 pts | −6.0 pts | $328k |
| November 30 | 4% | −0.7 pts | −5.3 pts | $469k |
A price of 4% means traders pay $0.04 for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. It is the crowd's estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and open interest, explained · How markets resolve
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.3.3 | December 31 · Yes | $21k | −$9k |
| stupid22 | December 31 · No | $16k | +$146k |
| Amrosein | December 31 · Yes | $12k | −$51k |
| GoriIIa | December 31 · No | $6k | +$51k |
| zhaoyk | June 30, 2027 · No | $4k | +$11k |
| cashy | December 31 · Yes | $4k | −$892 |
| nonkenny90 | December 31 · No | $4k | +$31k |
| thoodr | December 31 · No | $4k | +$34k |
Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. How to read holders.