As of 8 November 2026, the highest chances on Polymarket are Andy Beshear at 9%, Ron DeSantis at 7% and Marco Rubio at 3%. Each line is its own yes-or-no market.
Andy Beshear moved the most this week: 24% to 9% (−15.6 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Beshear | 9% | −7.1 pts | −15.6 pts | $11k |
| Ron DeSantis | 7% | −6.8 pts | −3.2 pts | $11k |
| Marco Rubio | 3% | 0.0 pts | −1.4 pts | $20k |
| Kamala Harris | 2% | −3.0 pts | −4.2 pts | $10k |
| Jon Ossoff | 2% | +0.2 pts | −2.6 pts | $18k |
A price of 9% means traders pay about $0.09 for a “Andy Beshear” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb. Each line is a separate yes-or-no market, so the chances do not add up to 100%.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lisbon | Marco Rubio · No | $8k | −$40 |
| bernardbulletin | Jon Ossoff · No | $7k | +$35 |
| AngryRhino | Andy Beshear · No | $5k | +$270 |
| 0x6c10…df5c | Kamala Harris · No | $5k | +$396 |
| simpleman | Kamala Harris · No | $3k | +$434 |
| bernardbulletin | Ron DeSantis · No | $2k | +$77 |
| Lisbon | Jon Ossoff · No | $2k | +$15 |
| MrMarket | Kamala Harris · No | $2k | +$93 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
More in Politics · All markets
Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.