The favourite on Polymarket is June 30, 2027 at 20%, followed by December 31 at 5%.
June 30, 2027 moved the most this week: 42% to 20% (−22.0 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30, 2027 | 20% | 0.0 pts | −22.0 pts | $53k |
| December 31 | 5% | −0.1 pts | −10.5 pts | $350k |
A price of 5% means traders pay $0.05 for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. It is the crowd's estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and open interest, explained · How markets resolve
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| ImJustKen | December 31 · No | $10k | +$143k |
| tetrose | December 31 · Yes | $6k | −$11k |
| ImJustKen | June 30, 2027 · Yes | $5k | −$3k |
| thoodr | December 31 · No | $3k | +$49k |
| Arbguy | December 31 · Yes | $3k | −$41k |
| 0x0c0e…434e | June 30, 2027 · No | $2k | +$7k |
| Erasmus. | December 31 · Yes | $2k | −$12k |
| 0x7444…ee2e | December 31 · Yes | $2k | −$4k |
Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. How to read holders.