As of 8 November 2026, the favourite on Polymarket is No Meeting by December 31 at 60%, followed by Qatar at 14% and Pakistan at 4%.
Qatar moved the most this week: 19% to 14% (−4.4 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No Meeting by December 31 | 60% | +7.0 pts | +3.0 pts | $20k |
| Qatar | 14% | −3.0 pts | −4.4 pts | $5k |
| Pakistan | 4% | +0.3 pts | +2.3 pts | $1k |
| UAE | 2% | −1.1 pts | +0.7 pts | $1k |
| Iran | 1% | 0.0 pts | +0.2 pts | $1k |
A price of 60% means traders pay about $0.60 for a “No Meeting by December 31” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Iran · No | $9k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | UAE · No | $9k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Pakistan · No | $8k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Qatar · No | $8k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | No Meeting by December 31 · No | $3k | – |
| flexibleagedbeef | No Meeting by December 31 · No | $3k | −$617 |
| 0xc91b…93bd | No Meeting by December 31 · Yes | $3k | +$515 |
| StupidMonkeyyy | No Meeting by December 31 · Yes | $2k | +$171 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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