As of 8 November 2026, the favourite on Polymarket is $403K - $407K at 60%, followed by $407K - $411K at 27% and <$403K at 11%.
<$403K moved the most this week: 4% to 11% (+7.1 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $403K - $407K | 60% | +20.0 pts | −0.5 pts | $6k |
| $407K - $411K | 27% | −10.0 pts | −3.5 pts | $4k |
| <$403K | 11% | −5.6 pts | +7.1 pts | $0 |
| $411K - $415K | 8% | +1.8 pts | +5.6 pts | $0 |
| $415K - $419K | 2% | 0.0 pts | −4.8 pts | $0 |
A price of 60% means traders pay about $0.60 for a “$403K - $407K” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef…2966 | $415K - $419K · No | $1k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | $411K - $415K · No | $1k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | <$403K · No | $1k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | $407K - $411K · No | $1k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | $403K - $407K · No | $565 | – |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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