The favourite on Polymarket is 25 bps increase at 76%, followed by No change at 22%.
25 bps increase moved the most this week: 70% to 76% (+6.0 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 bps increase | 76% | +7.0 pts | +6.0 pts | $2.7M |
| No change | 22% | −7.0 pts | −6.0 pts | $1.3M |
A price of 76% means traders pay $0.77 for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. It is the crowd's estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and open interest, explained · How markets resolve
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef…2966 | 25 bps increase · No | $975k | −$975k |
| ratehikes | 25 bps increase · Yes | $282k | +$155k |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | No change · No | $274k | −$274k |
| TheReturnOfDarthMaul | 25 bps increase · Yes | $168k | +$2k |
| gaven-willwin | 25 bps increase · Yes | $114k | +$13k |
| Erasmus. | 25 bps increase · Yes | $76k | +$4k |
| ethBELIVER | 25 bps increase · No | $67k | −$36k |
| simpleman | 25 bps increase · Yes | $44k | +$5k |
Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. How to read holders.