As of 8 November 2026, the favourite on Polymarket is 0 (0 bps) at 98%, followed by 1 (25 bps) at 1%.
No outcome moved more than 2 points over the past week.
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 (0 bps) | 98% | +0.2 pts | +1.6 pts | $184k |
| 1 (25 bps) | 1% | 0.0 pts | −0.1 pts | $59k |
A price of 98% means traders pay about $0.98 for a “0 (0 bps)” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef…2966 | 1 (25 bps) · No | $997k | – |
| TheReturnOfDarthMaul | 0 (0 bps) · Yes | $632k | +$108k |
| fed26 | 0 (0 bps) · Yes | $258k | +$153k |
| strategy1.2 | 0 (0 bps) · Yes | $66k | +$38k |
| 0xe617…f251 | 0 (0 bps) · Yes | $55k | +$5k |
| ratehikes | 0 (0 bps) · Yes | $46k | +$14k |
| Perseverantia | 0 (0 bps) · Yes | $39k | +$6k |
| nada | 0 (0 bps) · Yes | $37k | +$19k |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.