Traders on Polymarket see a 76% chance for “Another Fed rate hike in 2026”, up 6.0 points over the past week.
Over the past week the chance moved from 70% to 76% (+6.0 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 76% | +6.5 pts | +6.0 pts | $330k |
A price of 76% means traders pay $0.76 for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. It is the crowd's estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and open interest, explained · How markets resolve
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| foodenjoyer | No | $126k | −$98k |
| Ferwhere | No | $76k | −$51k |
| TheReturnOfDarthMaul | Yes | $65k | −$4k |
| 0x1058…01c1 | Yes | $53k | −$9k |
| JokerTheClown | No | $32k | −$22k |
| Roflan-ludoman | Yes | $28k | −$896 |
| balthazar | Yes | $26k | −$299 |
| suntori | No | $22k | −$17k |
Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. How to read holders.