As of 8 November 2026, the Polymarket prices are ↑ 2000 at 21%, ↓ 600 at 8% and ↓ 700 at 12%.
↓ 700 moved the most this week: 19% to 12% (−6.5 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 2000 | 21% | −1.9 pts | −0.9 pts | $8k |
| ↓ 50 | 3% | 0.0 pts | 0.0 pts | $877 |
| ↓ 200 | 4% | −0.3 pts | −0.4 pts | $123 |
| ↓ 600 | 8% | −1.5 pts | −2.5 pts | $808 |
| ↓ 700 | 12% | −2.0 pts | −6.5 pts | $2k |
A price of 21% means traders pay about $0.21 for a “↑ 2000” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb. Each line is a separate yes-or-no market, so the chances do not add up to 100%.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| gydmasg | ↑ 2000 · No | $6k | +$1k |
| BuyerOfNo | ↑ 2000 · No | $2k | +$205 |
| CauchyBraids | ↑ 2000 · Yes | $2k | −$4k |
| cryptopred | ↓ 700 · No | $2k | +$1k |
| mefirofan | ↑ 2000 · No | $2k | +$681 |
| gydmasg | ↓ 700 · No | $2k | +$230 |
| Mustafalafel | ↑ 2000 · No | $2k | +$78 |
| eatpastarunfasta | ↑ 2000 · No | $2k | +$653 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
More in Crypto · All markets
Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.