The favourite on Polymarket is ↓ 2,200 at 84%, followed by ↓ 1,700 at 10% and ↓ 1,600 at 8%.
↓ 1,600 moved the most this week: 19% to 8% (−10.5 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 2,200 | 84% | −3.0 pts | +3.5 pts | $184k |
| ↓ 1,700 | 10% | −1.5 pts | −2.0 pts | $77k |
| ↓ 1,600 | 8% | +0.5 pts | −10.5 pts | $86k |
| ↑ 3,000 | 6% | −1.0 pts | −0.5 pts | $65k |
| ↑ 3,100 | 3% | −0.9 pts | −10.3 pts | $73k |
A price of 84% means traders pay $0.84 for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. It is the crowd's estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and open interest, explained · How markets resolve
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Alexander321 | ↓ 2,200 · No | $81k | −$68k |
| Tokor | ↓ 2,200 · Yes | $33k | +$328 |
| getbipped | ↓ 2,200 · Yes | $20k | −$1k |
| 0xf705…3ca7 | ↓ 2,200 · Yes | $17k | −$1k |
| hqb.prediction | ↓ 2,200 · Yes | $5k | +$285 |
| hqb.prediction | ↓ 1,600 · Yes | $5k | −$394 |
| hqb.prediction | ↓ 1,700 · Yes | $5k | −$818 |
| monohydrate | ↓ 2,200 · No | $3k | −$2k |
Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. How to read holders.