The favourite on Polymarket is ↓ 74,000 at 16%, followed by ↑ 78,000 at 10% and ↓ 72,000 at 3%.
↑ 78,000 moved the most this week: 34% to 10% (−23.5 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 74,000 | 16% | −21.5 pts | −13.2 pts | $190k |
| ↑ 78,000 | 10% | −29.0 pts | −23.5 pts | $24k |
| ↓ 72,000 | 3% | −9.8 pts | −10.9 pts | $172k |
| ↑ 80,000 | 2% | −8.9 pts | −16.9 pts | $21k |
| ↓ 70,000 | 1% | −3.4 pts | −6.4 pts | $249k |
A price of 1% means traders pay $0.01 for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. It is the crowd's estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and open interest, explained · How markets resolve
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xf705…3ca7 | ↓ 74,000 · Yes | $4k | −$3k |
| justdance | ↓ 74,000 · No | $3k | +$11k |
| wahmanmarket | ↓ 74,000 · Yes | $1k | −$841 |
| d5BDa0A44B659581 | ↓ 74,000 · No | $1k | +$3k |
| 0xf705…3ca7 | ↓ 72,000 · Yes | $940 | −$2k |
| monohydrate | ↓ 74,000 · No | $607 | +$2k |
| grasstoucher69 | ↓ 74,000 · Yes | $555 | −$753 |
| grasstoucher69 | ↑ 78,000 · Yes | $503 | −$317 |
Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. How to read holders.