As of 8 November 2026, the Polymarket prices are ↑ 1.20 at 3%, ↑ 1.50 at 2% and ↓ 1.10 at 3%.
↑ 1.20 moved the most this week: 51% to 3% (−48.0 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 1.20 | 3% | −20.0 pts | −48.0 pts | $46 |
| ↑ 1.40 | 1% | 0.0 pts | −19.5 pts | $897 |
| ↑ 1.50 | 2% | −0.1 pts | −8.1 pts | $4k |
| ↓ 0.80 | 1% | −0.1 pts | −2.2 pts | $10 |
| ↓ 1.10 | 3% | −2.8 pts | −11.1 pts | $2k |
A price of 3% means traders pay about $0.03 for a “↓ 1.10” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb. Each line is a separate yes-or-no market, so the chances do not add up to 100%.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x06dc…4524 | ↑ 1.50 · No | $3k | +$51 |
| 0x50b6…9272 | ↑ 1.50 · No | $1k | −$4 |
| 0x06dc…4524 | ↑ 1.40 · No | $695 | +$116 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
More in Crypto · All markets
Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.