As of 8 November 2026, the Polymarket prices are ↑ 140 at 8%, ↓ 50 at 5% and ↓ 60 at 11%.
↑ 140 moved the most this week: 12% to 8% (−5.0 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 140 | 8% | −2.0 pts | −5.0 pts | $31k |
| ↑ 160 | 4% | −0.5 pts | −3.0 pts | $18k |
| ↑ 180 | 3% | −0.3 pts | −2.0 pts | $7k |
| ↓ 50 | 5% | −0.8 pts | −1.2 pts | $8k |
| ↓ 60 | 11% | −1.6 pts | +1.0 pts | $10k |
A price of 11% means traders pay about $0.11 for a “↓ 60” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb. Each line is a separate yes-or-no market, so the chances do not add up to 100%.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xf705…3ca7 | ↓ 50 · No | $17k | +$6k |
| oegdatam | ↑ 160 · No | $17k | +$954 |
| DFV2 | ↑ 180 · No | $13k | +$1k |
| DFV2 | ↑ 160 · No | $13k | +$650 |
| oegdatam | ↑ 180 · No | $11k | +$1k |
| tsihkodiives | ↓ 50 · No | $7k | +$771 |
| oegdatam | ↑ 140 · No | $6k | +$260 |
| DFV2 | ↑ 140 · No | $5k | +$181 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
More in Crypto · All markets
Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.