As of 8 November 2026, the Polymarket prices are ↑ 130 at 3%, ↓ 60 at 4% and ↓ 70 at 14%.
↑ 130 moved the most this week: 6% to 3% (−3.3 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 130 | 3% | −0.2 pts | −3.3 pts | $8k |
| ↓ 40 | 1% | −0.4 pts | +0.2 pts | $7k |
| ↓ 50 | 2% | −0.2 pts | +0.6 pts | $28k |
| ↓ 60 | 4% | −0.5 pts | −0.3 pts | $19k |
| ↓ 70 | 14% | 0.0 pts | +3.0 pts | $22k |
A price of 14% means traders pay about $0.14 for a “↓ 70” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb. Each line is a separate yes-or-no market, so the chances do not add up to 100%.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| coinman2 | ↓ 60 · No | $10k | +$106 |
| coinman2 | ↓ 50 · No | $8k | +$8 |
| 0x06dc…4524 | ↓ 60 · No | $8k | +$58 |
| coinman2 | ↓ 70 · No | $8k | −$255 |
| 0x6916…2fd4 | ↓ 40 · No | $5k | +$25 |
| 0x06dc…4524 | ↓ 70 · No | $4k | −$228 |
| 0x6916…2fd4 | ↓ 50 · No | $4k | +$8 |
| 0x06dc…4524 | ↑ 130 · No | $3k | +$61 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
More in Crypto · All markets
Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.