As of 8 November 2026, the Polymarket prices are ↑ 2.60 at 4%, ↑ 2.80 at 4% and ↓ 1.00 at 50%.
↓ 1.00 moved the most this week: 37% to 50% (+13.0 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 2.60 | 4% | −0.2 pts | −1.8 pts | $38k |
| ↑ 2.80 | 4% | +1.0 pts | +0.4 pts | $934 |
| ↑ 3.00 | 2% | 0.0 pts | −1.6 pts | $2k |
| ↓ 0.20 | 1% | 0.0 pts | 0.0 pts | $2k |
| ↓ 1.00 | 50% | +5.5 pts | +13.0 pts | $2k |
A price of 50% means traders pay about $0.50 for a “↓ 1.00” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb. Each line is a separate yes-or-no market, so the chances do not add up to 100%.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| oegdatam | ↑ 2.60 · No | $20k | +$385 |
| DFV2 | ↑ 2.60 · No | $14k | +$537 |
| 0xf705…3ca7 | ↑ 2.60 · No | $12k | +$441 |
| ThanksGivingTurkey1001 | ↑ 2.60 · No | $10k | +$64 |
| datamint | ↑ 2.60 · No | $10k | +$213 |
| oegdatam | ↑ 3.00 · No | $3k | +$146 |
| coolzz | ↓ 0.20 · No | $3k | −$16 |
| qM.26.2 | ↑ 2.60 · No | $3k | +$57 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
More in Crypto · All markets
Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.