As of 8 November 2026, the Polymarket prices are ↑ $780 at 18%, ↓ $710 at 47% and ↓ $720 at 66%.
↓ $730 moved the most this week: 28% to 84% (+55.0 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ $780 | 18% | +5.5 pts | −19.5 pts | $3k |
| ↑ $790 | 8% | −0.5 pts | −14.5 pts | $2k |
| ↓ $710 | 47% | +9.5 pts | +33.5 pts | $5k |
| ↓ $720 | 66% | +2.5 pts | +49.5 pts | $3k |
| ↓ $730 | 84% | −0.5 pts | +55.0 pts | $4k |
A price of 84% means traders pay about $0.84 for a “↓ $730” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb. Each line is a separate yes-or-no market, so the chances do not add up to 100%.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| grasstoucher69 | ↓ $730 · Yes | $874 | +$479 |
| grasstoucher69 | ↓ $720 · Yes | $777 | +$399 |
| thanksforplayin | ↓ $720 · Yes | $575 | +$68 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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