As of 8 November 2026, the favourite on Polymarket is Apple at 74%, followed by NVIDIA at 26%.
NVIDIA moved the most this week: 50% to 26% (−24.0 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apple | 74% | +1.0 pts | +23.5 pts | $37k |
| NVIDIA | 26% | −1.0 pts | −24.0 pts | $43k |
A price of 74% means traders pay about $0.74 for a “Apple” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef…2966 | NVIDIA · No | $12k | – |
| Hauchn | Apple · Yes | $6k | +$1k |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Apple · No | $4k | – |
| Barometer12Extrovert9 | Apple · Yes | $2k | −$44 |
| 0x0bc0…0f2a | NVIDIA · Yes | $2k | −$439 |
| iloveyoueth | NVIDIA · No | $1k | −$58 |
| FluffyMD2026 | NVIDIA · Yes | $997 | −$586 |
| WordleAddict | Apple · Yes | $666 | +$36 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.