The favourite on Polymarket is ↑ $200 at 66%, followed by ↑ $208 at 45% and ↓ $168 at 39%.
↑ $216 moved the most this week: 72% to 26% (−45.0 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ $200 | 66% | +1.5 pts | +21.5 pts | $37k |
| ↑ $208 | 45% | −2.0 pts | −36.5 pts | $22k |
| ↓ $168 | 39% | −14.1 pts | −10.1 pts | $11k |
| ↓ $160 | 32% | +1.0 pts | +31.1 pts | $13k |
| ↑ $216 | 26% | −5.5 pts | −45.0 pts | $19k |
A price of 66% means traders pay $0.66 for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. It is the crowd's estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and open interest, explained · How markets resolve
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| CamelUp | ↑ $200 · No | $13k | −$734 |
| superstonksbro | ↑ $200 · Yes | $11k | +$1k |
| superstonksbro | ↑ $208 · No | $5k | +$3k |
| CamelUp | ↑ $208 · Yes | $3k | +$366 |
| superstonksbro | ↑ $216 · No | $3k | +$7k |
| CamelUp | ↑ $216 · Yes | $2k | +$240 |
| grasstoucher69 | ↑ $216 · Yes | $1k | +$197 |
| thanksforplayin | ↓ $160 · Yes | $1k | +$627 |
Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. How to read holders.