The favourite on Polymarket is SpaceX at 88%, followed by Anthropic at 11%.
Anthropic moved the most this week: 44% to 11% (−32.9 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SpaceX | 88% | +2.0 pts | +32.0 pts | $250k |
| Anthropic | 11% | −2.2 pts | −32.9 pts | $154k |
A price of 88% means traders pay $0.88 for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. It is the crowd's estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and open interest, explained · How markets resolve
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef…2966 | SpaceX · No | $220k | −$220k |
| 0xffbb…36e9 | SpaceX · No | $88k | −$73k |
| TheReturnOfDarthMaul | SpaceX · Yes | $59k | +$2k |
| UnreasonableAwareness | SpaceX · No | $57k | −$47k |
| schizohedgehog | SpaceX · Yes | $52k | +$7k |
| no1yet | SpaceX · Yes | $44k | +$1k |
| occasionalAwareness | SpaceX · No | $44k | −$24k |
| Bertapotamous | SpaceX · Yes | $44k | +$17k |
Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. How to read holders.