The favourite on Polymarket is $1.25–$1.5T at 31%, followed by $1.5–$1.75T at 25% and <$1.25T at 17%.
$1.25–$1.5T moved the most this week: 11% to 31% (+19.9 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $1.25–$1.5T | 31% | +12.0 pts | +19.9 pts | $134k |
| $1.5–$1.75T | 25% | −2.4 pts | +6.0 pts | $131k |
| <$1.25T | 17% | +0.5 pts | +11.9 pts | $180k |
| $1.75–$2.0T | 16% | −4.0 pts | −15.0 pts | $134k |
| $2.0–$2.25T | 6% | −2.3 pts | −14.0 pts | $129k |
A price of 17% means traders pay $0.17 for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. It is the crowd's estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and open interest, explained · How markets resolve
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef…2966 | $1.25–$1.5T · No | $38k | −$38k |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | $1.5–$1.75T · No | $31k | −$31k |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | <$1.25T · No | $21k | −$21k |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | $1.75–$2.0T · No | $19k | −$19k |
| 0x2b67…b814 | $1.25–$1.5T · Yes | $15k | +$8k |
| 0x2b67…b814 | <$1.25T · Yes | $13k | +$4k |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | $2.0–$2.25T · No | $8k | −$8k |
| SnapElectionAvoider | $1.25–$1.5T · Yes | $6k | +$5k |
Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. How to read holders.