As of 8 November 2026, the Polymarket prices are ↑ $6 at 16%, ↑ $10 at 4% and ↓ $2.5 at 50%.
↓ $2 moved the most this week: 26% to 4% (−22.0 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ $6 | 16% | +2.5 pts | −18.0 pts | $3k |
| ↑ $10 | 4% | −3.0 pts | −0.4 pts | $670 |
| ↑ $12 | 4% | 0.0 pts | +0.5 pts | $0 |
| ↓ $2 | 4% | −7.5 pts | −22.0 pts | $1k |
| ↓ $2.5 | 50% | +12.5 pts | +2.5 pts | $0 |
A price of 50% means traders pay about $0.50 for a “↓ $2.5” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb. Each line is a separate yes-or-no market, so the chances do not add up to 100%.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| amis | ↑ $12 · No | $4k | +$95 |
| PeggyGou | ↑ $10 · No | $3k | +$551 |
| mommydualipa | ↑ $6 · No | $3k | +$2k |
| gothmommy69 | ↑ $6 · No | $3k | +$2k |
| Michel de Nostredame | ↑ $10 · No | $3k | +$285 |
| VibeyQuant | ↑ $6 · No | $3k | +$405 |
| btcisking | ↑ $10 · No | $3k | +$179 |
| amis | ↑ $10 · No | $2k | +$57 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
More in Crypto · All markets
Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.