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Climate & Culture · Fed & rates

US Tornadoes in October 2026

As of 8 November 2026, the favourite on Polymarket is 35 - 59 at 97%, followed by 20 - 34 at 2%.

No outcome moved more than 2 points over the past week.

Open on the mapRules and result on Polymarket

Chances now

New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean

OutcomeChance24 hours7 daysTraded, 7 days
35 - 5997%0.0 pts+0.2 pts$0
20 - 342%−0.3 pts+1.3 pts$0

A price of 97% means traders pay about $0.97 for a “35 - 59” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.

Key facts

Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees

Largest public holders

WalletHoldsValueUnrealised P&L
BeefSlayer35 - 59 · Yes$3k+$1k
0xa5ef…296620 - 34 · No$3k–

Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.

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Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.