As of 8 November 2026, traders on Polymarket see a 3% chance for “US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31”, down from 3% a week ago.
It barely moved in the past 24 hours, and stood at 6% 30 days ago.
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 3% | 0.0 pts | −0.6 pts | $118k |
A price of 3% means traders pay about $0.03 for a Yes share, which pays $1 if the answer is Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| denizz | No | $40k | +$5k |
| pIebe | No | $37k | +$4k |
| aangelika | No | $37k | +$6k |
| 0x8b71…8044 | No | $31k | +$6k |
| ANGGGuess | No | $22k | +$2k |
| thoodr | No | $16k | +$293 |
| Extra-Large-Begonia | No | $16k | +$4k |
| bullishkirby2 | No | $13k | +$597 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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