As of 8 November 2026, the favourite on Polymarket is 0.6–0.7% at 58%, followed by 0.8–0.9% at 28% and 0.4–0.5% at 12%.
0.6–0.7% moved the most this week: 48% to 58% (+10.3 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6–0.7% | 58% | +2.8 pts | +10.3 pts | $567 |
| 0.8–0.9% | 28% | −1.2 pts | −6.2 pts | $532 |
| 0.4–0.5% | 12% | −1.0 pts | −1.5 pts | $414 |
A price of 58% means traders pay about $0.58 for a “0.6–0.7%” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef…2966 | 0.4–0.5% · No | $2k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | 0.8–0.9% · No | $1k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | 0.6–0.7% · No | $732 | – |
| SnapElectionAvoider | 0.6–0.7% · Yes | $670 | +$360 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
More in Finance · All markets
Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.