As of 8 November 2026, the favourite on Polymarket is No Change at 92%, followed by 25 bps increase at 8%.
No Change moved the most this week: 88% to 92% (+4.2 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No Change | 92% | +3.2 pts | +4.2 pts | $2k |
| 25 bps increase | 8% | −3.0 pts | −2.6 pts | $1k |
A price of 92% means traders pay about $0.92 for a “No Change” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef…2966 | 25 bps increase · No | $7k | – |
| podairpod | No Change · Yes | $3k | +$358 |
| 0x43cb…84df | No Change · Yes | $2k | +$277 |
| donthackme | 25 bps increase · No | $1k | +$120 |
| firegold | No Change · Yes | $769 | +$68 |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | 25 bps increase · No | $714 | +$52 |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | No Change · No | $620 | – |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.