As of 8 November 2026, the Polymarket prices are ↑ $8,000 at 23%, ↑ $8,200 at 16% and ↓ $7,000 at 53%.
↑ $8,000 moved the most this week: 56% to 23% (−33.0 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ $8,000 | 23% | −0.5 pts | −33.0 pts | $455 |
| ↑ $8,200 | 16% | +3.0 pts | −3.5 pts | $428 |
| ↓ $4,500 | 3% | −0.1 pts | −1.2 pts | $5k |
| ↓ $6,200 | 7% | +0.2 pts | −6.0 pts | $4k |
| ↓ $7,000 | 53% | −0.5 pts | +23.5 pts | $376 |
A price of 53% means traders pay about $0.53 for a “↓ $7,000” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb. Each line is a separate yes-or-no market, so the chances do not add up to 100%.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Avamax | ↓ $4,500 · No | $8k | +$213 |
| bitcoinmafia | ↓ $6,200 · No | $6k | +$4k |
| 0x74b4…6bea | ↓ $6,200 · No | $5k | +$940 |
| orderfill | ↓ $4,500 · No | $4k | +$117 |
| 0xe617…f251 | ↓ $6,200 · No | $3k | +$11 |
| Avamax | ↑ $8,200 · No | $2k | +$233 |
| QMG-VOL | ↓ $4,500 · No | $2k | +$11 |
| Avamax | ↓ $6,200 · No | $2k | +$51 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.