As of 8 November 2026, traders on Polymarket see a 12% chance for “SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026”, down from 19% a week ago.
It moved +2.0 pts in the past 24 hours, and stood at 29% 30 days ago.
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 12% | +2.0 pts | −6.5 pts | $4k |
A price of 12% means traders pay about $0.12 for a Yes share, which pays $1 if the answer is Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| SiliconBets | No | $1k | +$44 |
| LacunaWin | No | $825 | +$132 |
| daweishashax | No | $541 | +$148 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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