As of 8 November 2026, the favourite on Polymarket is 6.8%+ at 35%, followed by 6.5% at 16% and 6.4% at 13%.
6.7% moved the most this week: 22% to 7% (−15.0 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.8%+ | 35% | +4.5 pts | −8.5 pts | $6k |
| 6.5% | 16% | 0.0 pts | +1.5 pts | $3k |
| 6.4% | 13% | −3.8 pts | +9.4 pts | $3k |
| 6.3% | 7% | +1.7 pts | +4.3 pts | $100 |
| 6.7% | 7% | +2.0 pts | −15.0 pts | $1k |
A price of 35% means traders pay about $0.35 for a “6.8%+” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef…2966 | 6.7% · No | $1k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | 6.3% · No | $1k | – |
| HIMKIKI | 6.8%+ · Yes | $1k | −$629 |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | 6.4% · No | $1k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | 6.5% · No | $1k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | 6.8%+ · No | $858 | – |
| attempt-most | 6.8%+ · No | $625 | +$279 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.