As of 8 November 2026, the favourite on Polymarket is 1.5T+ at 34%, followed by No IPO by December 31, 2027 at 28% and 1.25T–1.5T at 14%.
1.5T+ moved the most this week: 39% to 34% (−4.5 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5T+ | 34% | +2.6 pts | −4.5 pts | $6k |
| No IPO by December 31, 2027 | 28% | +0.3 pts | +3.7 pts | $7k |
| 1.25T–1.5T | 14% | +0.5 pts | +0.5 pts | $566 |
| 1T–1.25T | 12% | +0.3 pts | −0.1 pts | $580 |
| 750B–1T | 4% | −0.1 pts | +0.3 pts | $3k |
A price of 34% means traders pay about $0.34 for a “1.5T+” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| elPolloLoco | 750B–1T · No | $24k | +$251 |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | 750B–1T · No | $21k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | 1T–1.25T · No | $19k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | 1.25T–1.5T · No | $18k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | No IPO by December 31, 2027 · No | $15k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | 1.5T+ · No | $14k | – |
| chivoexpiatorio | No IPO by December 31, 2027 · Yes | $4k | +$2k |
| 0xff7c…b233 | No IPO by December 31, 2027 · No | $3k | −$230 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
More in Finance · All markets
Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.